New Zealand vs India, 1st T20I prediction: Hagley Oval, Christchurch
Result
New Zealand batted first and made 225/4. India won by 4 wickets.
| Our projection for New Zealand | 174 |
| Actual | 225 (+51) |
| Inside the projected range | ❌ no |
| Favourite (India, 54.3%) won | ✅ yes |
A clear miss on runs. It led to the recent-form correction and a revised baseline for this ground.
The projection below is exactly as published before the match.
Projected first innings
| Batting first | Projection | Likely range |
|---|---|---|
| New Zealand | 174 | 145–203 |
| India | 170 | 141–199 |
The range is the projection plus or minus its typical error in T20; about two results in three land inside it.
Win probability
| Team | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| New Zealand | 45.7% | 2.19 |
| India | 54.3% | 1.84 |
Fair odds are what the probability implies with no bookmaker margin. They are not a recommendation to bet.
The ground
Most recent first innings here in this format: 153, 236, 187.
Read with care
- 15 men's T20Is at this ground in our data, first innings averaging 162; recent games had run higher but were too scattered to adjust for.
- In India's previous series their first innings beat our projection twice.
Run it yourself
Change the toss, the pitch setting or the line-ups in the projection tool, or ask @CricParBot on Telegram. Previews and results are posted to @CricParAnalysis.